NFL Football Picks for Week 3 2009

Not so hot this year so far, but I will always keep on trying. I'm holding off opposite week for at least one more week. I also refrained my letting my sone make my picks this week. Here goes:


New England Patriots -4.5 over Atlanta Falcons

Houston Texans -3.5 over Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs +9.5 over Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Lions +6.5 over Washington Redskins

Green Bay Packers -6.5 over St. Louis

Cincinnati Bengals +4.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 over New York Giants

Cleveland Browns + 13.5 over Baltimore Ravens

Minnesota Vikings -6.5 over San Francisco 49ers

Tennessee Titans +2.5 over New York Jets

New Orleans Saints -5.5 over Buffalo Bills

Chicago Bears -2.5 over Seattle Seahawks

San Diego Chargers -6.5 over Miami Dolphins

Oakland Raiders -1.5 over Denver Broncos

Arizona Cardinals -2.5 over Indianapolis Colts

Dallas Cowboys -9.5 over Carolina Panthers

NFL Survivor pick for week 3 2009

I think this is an easy pick this week. Going with a good team playing a bad one. Cleveland sucks and the Ravens are playing very well, hence the 13 1/2 point spread. Survivor pick of the week: Baltimore Ravens

NFL Football Picks for Week 2 2009

Week one wasn't so hot for me, but let's give it another try. Here are my picks for NFL week 2.

Minnesota Vikings - 9.5 over Detroit Lions

Tennessee Titans -6.5 over Houston Texans

New England Patriots -5.5 over New York Jets

Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 over Oakland Raiders

Washington Redskins -9.5 over St. Louis Rams

Cincinnati Bengals +9.5 over Green Bay Packers

Atlanta Falcons -6.5 over Carolina Panthers

Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 over Arizona Cardinals

Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 over New Orleans Saints

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.5 over Buffalo Bills

Seattle Seahawks +1.5 over San Francisco 49ers

Baltimore Ravens +3.5 over San Diego Chargers

Cleveland Browns +3.5 over Denver Broncos

Chicago Bears +2.5 over Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Giants +2.5 over Dallas Cowboys

Miami Dolphins +3.5 over Indianapolis Colts

NFL Survivor pick for week 2 2009

Employing a usual method this week. Take whoever is playing Detroit or St. Louis. I don't trust the Redskins, so that leaves me with a team that is going to light up the board vs Detroit. The pick of the week: Minnesota

Week 1

Not so hot last week. I'll try again for week 2.

Survivor pick for week 1 2009

Week 1 survivor pool picks usually aren't that tough, but there is always a chance your team will get upset and you'll be pissed you got knocked out on week 1. I think the popular pick this week will be the Saints, who are playing Detroit. However, I am going to stick my neck out a little, despite my own advice of always making the best choice. I'm betting the rest of the season that the G-men beat up on the Redskins this week and like them for my Survivor pick.

Week 1 Pick:

Giants

NFL Football Picks for Week 1 2009

As promised, here are my picks for week 1 of the 2009 NFL season. Week 1 is always tough, but we've seen enough in preseason and from the media to know who is good and who is not. However, the spread always causes some havoc when a bad team loses, but manages to keep it close and covers. There are some dominant teams and some weaklings, but with the NFL, you never know. I'll probably get better as the season goes on, and if not, I'll let me son make my picks for me. Here you go for NFL week 1, 2009:

Tennessee Titans (+5.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers

Atlanta Falcons (-4.5) over Miami Dolphins

Cincinnati Bengals (-3.5) over Denver Broncos

Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) over Cleveland Browns

Jacksonville Jaguars (+6.5) over Indianapolis Colts

New Orleans Saints (-11.5) over Detroit Lions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) over Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles (+0.5) over Carolina Panthers

Kansas City Chiefs (+8.5) over Baltimore Ravens

Houston Texans (-4.5) over New York Jets

New York Giants (-6.5) over Washington Redskins

Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) over San Francisco 49ers 9/13 4:15 PM

St. Louis Rams (+7.5) over Seattle Seahawks

Chicago Bears (+3.5) over Green Bay Packers

New England Patriots (-10.5) over Buffalo Bills

San Diego Chargers (-6.5) over Oakland Raiders


Let's see how I do.

Tebow - CBSSports.com Message Boards

"It would not be the first time NFL scouts were fooled. I'm thinking about can't miss prospects like Alex Smith, Ryan Leaf, Tim Couch, and Charles Rogers.

Tebow is a great college QB, and as a Florida fan, I love watching him lead the Gators to national championships. However, I also see a lot of similarities between him and other great college QB's that didn't quite make it in the NFL. Two great QB's from Nebraska come to mind.

Given the type of QB he is vs the type of QB that succeeds in the NFL, I just don't see it happening."

today

NFL starts today, but it's going to be hard not to watch the Yankees and the Red Sox. I guess that's what picture in picture is for

A new beginning

Training camp has begun. Only a few weeks to go before the season begins.

Time to start planning your fantasy draft and signing up for pick em pools.

It's the most wonderful time of the year.


--------------------------
Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Handheld

Today

What a great day for the beach


--------------------------
Sent from my BlackBerry Wireless Handheld

Sorry

Sorry for not posting my picks last season. Trust me, you didn't want them anyway. I have a new netbook now and it will be easier to post. I will try to do a better job in 2009.

If anyone has any suggestions or wants to discuss picks, let me know.


Peter

NFL Football Picks for Week 1

NFL season is upon us, and besides Bowl season, it's the most wonderful time of the year. Last year I had a strong start and a disappointing finish, but did wind up with more than I started with. Here are this weeks winners:

1. Indianapolis - 6 1/2 over New Orleans

2. Kansas City + 3 1/2 over Houston

3. Green Bay + 3 1/2 over Philadelphia

4. Minnesota - 3 1/2 over Atlanta

5. Miami + 3 1/2 over Washington

6. New England - 6 1/2 over New York Jets

7. Tennessee + 6 1/2 over Jacksonville

8. Denver - 3 1/2 over Buffalo

9. Pittsburgh - 4 1/2 over Cleveland

10. Carolina + 1 1/2 over St. Louis

11. Seattle - 6 1/2 over Tampa Bay

12. Chicago + 6 1/2 over San Diego

13. Oakland - 1 1/2 over Detroit

14. New York Giants + 5 1/2 over Dallas

15. Baltimore + 2 1 /2 over Cincinnati

16. Arizona + 3 1/2 over San Francisco

New Season

Just a quick note to all those (and there aren't many) who missed my blog throughout the year. Football season is back and I'll be making weekly posts with my NFL picks. Remember, I'm better than just flipping a coin.

Also, this year I'll try to focus more on fantasy football rather than college football. Not that there is anything wrong with college football, and I've spent many Saturdays glued to my television, I'd like to focus more on the NFL this year.

NFL Football picks for week 17 (12/30/06 - 12/31/06)

This is the last regular season post. Overall, so far, I've done pretty well, and since I'm over 50%, I cannot complain. Here is one last shot to go undefeated for the season:


1. New York Giants - 2 1/2 over Washington

2. Detroit + 12 1/2 over Dallas

3. Oakland + 12 1/2 over New York Jets

4. St. Louis - 2 1/2 over Minnesota

5. Cleveland + 4 1/2 over Houston

6. Carolina - 3 1/2 over New Orleans

7. New England + 3 1/2 over Tennessee

8. Tampa Bay - 3 1/2 over Seattle

9. Cincinnati - 6 1/2 over Pittsburgh

10. Kansas City - 2 1/2 over Jacksonville

11. Buffalo + 9 1/2 over Baltimore

12. Miami + 9 1/2 over Indianapolis

13. Arizona + 13 1/2 over San Diego

14. Atlanta + 7 1/2 over Philadelphia

15. San Francisco + 10 1/2 Denver

16. Chicago - 2 1/2 over Green Bay

Happy New year, and happy Festivus (for the rest of us).

NFL Football picks for week 15 (12/14/06 - 12/17/06)

Sorry for the spotty posts. I'll try to improve this for the rest of the season and especially the playoffs. Here are this week's winners:


1. San Francisco + 9 1/2 over Seattle

2. Atlanta + 3 1/2 over Dallas

3. Miami + 1 1/2 over Buffalo

4. Minnesota - 3 1/2 over New York Jets

5. Green Bay - 5 1/2 over Detroit

6. Chicago - 13 1/2 over Tampa Bay

7. Jacksonville - 3 1/2 over Tennessee

8. Cleveland + 11 1/2 over Baltimore

9. Washington + 9 1/2 over New Orleans

10. New England - 11 1/2 over Houston

11. Pittsburgh - 3 1/2 over Carolina

12. Denver - 2 1/2 over Arizona

13. New York Giants - 5 1/2 over Philadelphia

14. St. Louis + 2 1/2 over Oakland

15. San Diego - 8 1/2 over Kansas City

16. Indianapolis - 3 1/2 over Cincinnati

NFL Football picks for week 12 (11/23/06 - 11/27/06)

Happy Thanksgiving. Too bad both games this Thursday are crappy.

The picks:

1. Miami - 3 1/2 over Detroit

2. Tampa Bay + 11 1/2 over Dallas

3. Denver - 1 1/2 over Kansas City

4. New York Jets - 6 1/2 over Houston

5. Arizona + 6 1/2 over Minnesota

6. New Orleans + 3 1/2 over Atlanta

7. Carolina - 4 1/2 over Washington

8. Pittsburgh + 3 1/2 over Baltimore

9. San Francisco + 6 1/2 over St. Louis

10. Jacksonville - 3 1/2 over Buffalo

11. Cincinnati - 3 1/2 over Cleveland

12. San Diego - 13 1/2 over Oakland

13. New York Giants - 3 1/2 over Tennessee

14. New England - 3 1/2 over Chicago

15. Indianapolis - 9 1/2 over Philadelphia

16. Green Bay + 10 1/2 over Seattle


Hit the digg button below.

NFL Football picks for week 10 (11/12/06 - 11/13/06)

Last week was respectable with 7 correct, but the late games ruined my week. Here are some of the things that I am sure of so far this season:

1. The Patriots will win this Sunday vs the Jets. They haven't lost two in a row in a long time.







2. The Raiders have no offensive line. I had to turn the game off it was so bad. Looks like Andrew Walter is getting QB lessons from Drew Bledsoe.

3. My fantasy team keeps putting up big numbers, but not big enough to win.

This week, as always, my goal is to go undefeated. The picks of the week are:

1. Indianapolis - 12 1/2 over Buffalo

2. Baltimore - 7 1/2 over Tennessee

3. Cleveland + 8 1/2 over Atlanta

4. Minnesota - 5 1/2 over Green Bay

5. Kansas City - 1 1/2 over Miami

6. Detroit - 6 1/2 over San Francisco

7. Houston + 10 1/2 over Jacksonville

8. New England - 10 1/2 over New York Jets

9. San Diego - 1 1/2 over Cincinnati

10. Washington + 7 1/2 over Philadelphia

11. Denver - 9 1/2 over Oakland

12. St. Louis + 4 1/2 over Seattle

13. New Orleans + 4 1/2 over Pittsburgh

14. Arizona + 7 1/2 over Dallas

15. Chicago + 3 1/2 over New York Giants

16. Carolina - 9 1/2 over Tampa Bay

NFL Football picks for week 9 (11/05/06 - 11/06/06)

This week is opposite week. Aside from a few favorites that I usually pick, I mixed it up this week and went against by better judgment for many of my picks. The NFL is full of surprises, and sometimes, two wrongs do make a right. Here is my attempt to fake out the gambling gods:

1. Chicago - 13 1/2 over Miami

2. Detroit + 5 1/2 over Atlanta

3. Washington + 3 1/2 over Dallas

4. Houston + 13 1/2 over the New York Giants

5. Buffalo - 3 1/2 over Green Bay

6. Kansas City + 2 1/2 over St. Louis

7. Cincinnati + 3 1/2 over Baltimore

8. Tennessee + 9 1/2 over Jacksonville

9. New Orleans - 1 1/2 over Tampa Bay

10. Minnesota - 5 1/2 over San Francisco

11. Pittsburgh - 3 1/2 over Denver

12. Cleveland + 12 1/2 over San Diego

13. New England - 3 1/2 over Indianapolis

14. Oakland + 7 1/2 over Seattle


Too bad the Jets have off...

NFL Football picks for week 8 (10/29/06 - 10/30/06)

Sorry I missed a week and that these are a little late. Hope this helps everyone make their picks. The goal is to go undefeated (this almost happened a few weeks ago).

1. Tennessee - 3.5 over Houston

2. Green Bay - 3.5 over Arizona

3. New Orleans - 2.5 over Baltimore

4. Chicago - 16.5 over San Francisco

5. Kansas City - 6.5 over Seattle

6. Atlanta + 4.5 over Cincinnati

7. Tampa Bay + 9.5 over New York Giants

8. Philadelphia - 6.5 over Jacksonville

9. St. Louis + 9.5 over San Diego

10. New York Jets + 2.5 over Cleveland

11. Indianapolis + 2.5 over Denver

12. Oakland + 9.5 over Pittsburgh

13. Carolina - 5.5 over Dallas

14. New England - 2.5 over Minnesota

NFL Football picks for week 6 (10/15/06 - 10/16/06)

Last week was my best week yet. I posted a 10-2-2 record, which I am very happy with (83% winners). This week, due to my success and a little superstition, I will post in the same format with no commentary. You'll notice this week I went with mostly away teams.

1. Detroit + 1 1/2 over Buffalo

2. Houston + 13 1/2 over Dallas

3. New York Giants + 3 1/2 over Atlanta

4. Seattle - 3 1/2 over St. Louis

5. Tennessee + 10 1/2 over Washington

6. Carolina + 3 1/2 over Baltimore

7. Philadelphia - 3 1/2 over New Orleans

8. Cincinnati - 5 1/2 over Tampa Bay

9. Miami + 2 1/2 over New York Jets

10. Kansas City + 7 1/2 over Pittsburgh

11. San Diego - 10 1/2 over San Francisco

12. Denver - 15 1/2 over Oakland

13. Chicago - 10 1/2 over Arizona


Suicide pick of the week: Denver

NFL Football picks for week 5 (10/08/06 - 10/09/06)

Last week was a good week, but it could have been better. There were 4 games that came down to the last few minutes, and none of them went my way. Overall, I did post 8 wins, 5 losses and 1 push. This week, due to the demands of my career, I will only post my picks for winners without my usual commentary. Here goes:

1. Chicago - 11 over Buffalo

2. Cleveland + 8 over Carolina

3. Detroit + 6 over Minnesota

4. New England - 9 1/2 over Miami

5. Green Bay + 3 over St. Louis

6. New Orleans - 7 1/2 over Tampa Bay

7. Tennessee + 18 1/2 over Indianapolis

8. New York Giants - 4 over Washington

9. Kansas City - 2 1/2 over Arizona

10. Jacksonville - 6 1/2 over New York Jets

11. San Francisco + 4 over Oakland

12. Philadelphia - 2 1/2 over Dallas

13. San Diego - 3 over Pittsburgh

14. Denver - 4 1/2 over Baltimore


My suicide pick of the week: Chicago

NFL Football picks for week 4 (10/01/06 - 10/02/06)

Last week wasn't so great, but it wasn't so bad either. I had 7 wins, 5 losses, and 2 pushes. That brings my overall season record ATS (against the spread) to 25-19-2. I'm pretty happy that I'm above .500, but as always, I will strive for an undefeated week. This week is kinda tough though.

Arizona at Atlanta - 7

The rumor by ESPN that said Leinart would be starting this week turned out to be false. I feel bad for Kurt Warner. He went from MVP to someone who can't make anything happen, despite having some of the best offensive weapons to work with. Will this rumor motivate him? It probably will, but Atlanta will bounce back from a Monday night defeat in the Superdome to win this one.

PICK: Atlanta - 7


Dallas at Tennessee + 9 1/2

Even with Owens out this week (I'm not going to comment with my opinion of his 'suicide attempt'), the Cowboys should rout the Titans. Coming off a bye week, they will be ready. On the other hand, maybe this is the week Vince Young gets in the game, as Kerry Collins looks worse every time he plays. The spread is pretty big, but Dallas will overcome.

PICK: Dallas - 9 1/2


Indianapolis at New York Jets + 9

Surprisingly, the Jets haven't looked that bad so far this year. Pennington looks accurate and their receivers are playing well. All that will change this weekend. The Jets simply don't match up well vs the Colts on offense or defense. I don't think this one will even be close, as the Jet's secondary is no match for the Colts receiving corps.

PICK: Indianapolis - 9


Miami at Houston + 3 1/2

Miami is struggling, but so is Houston. Both teams are so bad, I don't even want to waste space writing about them. Go with the home team and the points.

PICK: Houston + 3 1/2


Minnesota at Buffalo -1

The Bills started off right last week, then blew it at home vs the Jets, while the Vikings kept it close with the Bears. I don't expect the Bills to lose two in a row at home, but I do think this one will be close. Both are middle of the pack type teams that are evenly matched, but the Bills are starting to play a little better.

PICK: Buffalo -1


New Orleans at Carolina - 7 1/2

The Saints looked very good at their Superdome homecoming, but can they keep the momentum going? So far, the Panthers have looked poor, but now that playmaker Steve Smith is back in the lineup, they will get inspired. A touchdown is a lot to give here, and I think this game will be close.

PICK: New Orleans + 7 1/2


San Diego at Baltimore + 2 1/2

The Chargers will be well rested coming off a bye week and the Ravens won a very close one vs a bad Cleveland team. The Ravens problem, as it's always been, is they can't score. Their D is great, but the Chargers offense will put points on the board. The team with more points wins the game. The Ravens can't score. Get it?

PICK: San Diego - 2 1/2


San Francisco at Kansas City - 7

KC also comes off a bye week well rested and ready to go. Even without Trent Green, KC can still score against an improving 49 team. But with Vernon out and Frank Gore questionable, KC will be damned if they go to 0-3 playing at home.

PICK: Kansas City - 7


Detroit at St Louis - 5 1/2

Neither team is really playing that well. The Rams won two despite how badly they played. The Lions have gotten close, but no cigar yet. This will be their week as Mike Martz returns to visit his former team with a vengeance. He will do his best to prove his critics wrong this week.

PICK: Detroit + 5 1/2


Cleveland at Oakland + 3

Two bad teams that don't deserve to be written about. Go with the home team getting points, regardless of how pathetic they've looked.

PICK: Oakland + 3


Jacksonville at Washington +3

The Jaguars looked good last week, but came up short when playing the Colts. They won't repeat this vs a so-so Redskins team. The Jags defense will not be as generous as the Texans were last week where the Skins won their first game. This week will be low scoring, with the Jags on top.

PICK: Jacksonville - 3


New England at Cincinnati - 6

No comment considering how bad the Pats looked last week. But as a lifelong fan, I have to pick them. The last time I didn't pick them in a pool, I was in middle school. Not picking them cost me a lot of money as I lost that week by one game.

PICK: New England + 6


Seattle at Chicago - 3 1/2

The Seahawks will not be the same without Shawn Alexander as Chicago will shut down their running game forcing them to pass. Seattle also proved they can give up a lot of points as they did vs the Giants last week. It will be a good game, but the Bears are the better team here.

PICK: Chicago - 3 1/2


Green Bay at Philadelphia - 11

11 is a lot to give even though the Eagles are the better team and are playing at home. Brett Favre will find a way to perform better on Monday night as the ESPN broadcasters praise him no matter what he does.

PICK: Green Bay + 11


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NFL Football picks for week 3 (9/24/06 - 9/25/06)

Let's see if I can beat 9 wins this week. To be honest, I'd be thrilled with 9 this week considering this is the first week where four teams have a bye, so there are only 14 games instead of 16. Here goes:

New York Giants at Seattle - 3 1/2

Eli looked good last week, but only in the 4th quarter. It turns out that is all that mattered. Seattle really hasn't had a tough test yet, but I think they edge the G-men this week. It's going to be close, but the Seahawks will win it.

PICK: Seattle - 3 1/2


Carolina at Tampa Bay + 3

I normally like home dogs, and I'm not going to stray on this one. Both teams are desperate for a win. Simms has looked like crap so far this season, and Carolina just can't seem to get going on offense. Since both teams are struggling, I'll go with the one getting points.

PICK: Tampa Bay +3


Chicago at Minnesota +3

Another home dog, but this time I'm going against my rule (more like a guideline). Chicago has looked great so far and they are finally getting what they are paying for in Rex Grossman. Do I even have to mention how great the defense is playing? I know the Vikings are 2-0 so far, but I'm not so sure how they will hold up vs. a good team. Both of their wins were against struggling teams.

PICK: Chicago -3


Green Bay at Detroit -6 1/2

This is the week the Lions begin to prove me right (see one of my previous posts concerning this year's NFL predictions). The Packers are a week team that got shut out in week one and lost in the 4th quarter in week two. The Lions haven't won yet either, but they did hold the Seahawks to no touchdowns. As long as Roy Williams doesn't guarantee anything, I'm going with the Lions.

PICK: Detroit - 6 1/2


Washington at Houston + 4

Clinton Portis says he will play this week, but seeing is believing. Even if he plays, which he probably will, I'm still not sold on the health of his shoulder. Without him, the Skins will struggle as they have the first two weeks of the season. I'll go with the home dog again as the Texans will post their first win for the season.

PICK: Houston + 4


Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - 2

With Big Ben recovering from surgery and Polamalu having a few aches and pains, the Steelers didn't look too impressive vs the Jaguars last week. They return to Pittsburgh to play the Bengals, who also have some injury issues. However, the big three from Cincy look fine (Palmer, Johnson, and Johnson) as the Bengals pull off a close one.

PICK: Cincinnati + 2


Jacksonville at Indianapolis - 7

The Jags defense looked great last week on Monday night. Their offense - not so hot. Here's how it is going to play out: The Jags will shut down the Colts running game, forcing them to throw. They'll connect and score on a few, but not enough to cover the spread. Fred Taylor could have a big game.

PICK: Jacksonville + 7


New York Jets at Buffalo - 5 1/2

The Jets gave the Patriots a scare last week, and the Bills looked ok vs the Dolphins. Both teams are about evenly matched. The Jets are better at QB and WR, but the Bills have the better running game. When both teams are evenly matched, go with the points. Parity really does exist in the NFL.

PICK: New York Jets + 5 1/2


Tennessee at Miami - 10

This is a big spread for a team that looks awful last week vs the Bills. The Titans won't be winning any awards for their stellar play either, but 10 is too much to give. Maybe Young will get the ball and work some magic. Collins is done. To be fair about the spread, the Titans did get their asses kicked by San Diego, but they might keep this one close.

PICK: Tennessee + 10


Baltimore at Cleveland + 6 1/2

I can't go with the home dog here, just based on how good the Ravens are playing. They are starting to look like the Super Bowl Ravens: a dominating defense and an offense that does just enough to win. The Browns don't have too much going their way these days. Droughns is a little banged up and Frye looks overwhelmed.

PICK: Baltimore - 6 1/2


Philadelphia at San Francisco + 6

The Eagles are coming off that overtime loss vs the Giants and probably want to take out their frustrations on someone, and who better than the 49ers. Although not the doormat they were last year, with Alex Smith improving and Antonio Bryant playing well. Frank Gore is also showing why he was the starter at Miami (University) over McGahee. Philly goes to California with something to prove this week.

PICK: Philadelphia - 6


St. Louis at Arizona - 4 1/2

The Rams are struggling a little bit and Orlando Pace being injured doesn't help. I still like the weapons Arizona has on offense. This week, the Cardinals get their act together and win by more than a touchdown.

PICK: Arizona - 4 1/2


Denver at New England - 6 1/2

The Broncos look bad and Plummer looks worse. As long as they stick with him, they will lose games. He has zero touchdowns so far this season and four interceptions. This week, he is playing away against a defense that knows how to scheme. The Patriots are going to pick on him all day.

PICK: New England - 6 1/2


Atlanta at New Orleans + 3 1/2

I know this is the grand opening of the Superdome since the hurricane, and the Saints will be all fired up. In addition, they are getting points (as they should) vs a pretty impressive Atlanta squad. With all the emotion going into this one, it's hard to see the Saints flop.

PICK: New Orleans + 3 1/2


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NFL Football picks for week 2 (9/17/06 - 9/18/06) - Results and recap

Again, I was 9-7 on the week. I'm beginning to see a trend here.

A few notes about this past Sunday's games:

• How can a QB look amazing in the pre-season, but look like a rookie in the regular season? I guess I should know the answer to this, but I was expecting better things out of Dante Culpepper.
• How dumb is Carolina for trying to get cute with the kickoff return in overtime? It wound up costing them the game.
• I thought Detroit was better than that. Maybe the Bears are for real. I'll tell you this though: I picked up Rex Grossman for my fantasy team this morning.
• Green Bay's season just sunk to new levels with a home loss.
• I'd say the same about the Raiders, but they were already at rock bottom.
• Eli looked good in the 4th quarter, as usual. I wish he'd play like that the whole game.
• San Diego is the real deal. So much for a QB with no experience.
• The Jaguars might be the most underrated team in the game.

This week: 9-7 56.25%

Overall: 18-14 56.25%

NFL Football picks for week 2 (9/17/06 - 9/18/06)

A record of 9-7 isn't a bad way to start the season, but it's not amazing either. I'll give it another go for week two:


Buffalo at Miami - 6 1/2

Neither team looked too good in week one, but Buffalo did give the Patriots a scare. However, Buffalo's defense may suffer if Spikes doesn't play. Miami wins their home opener after a tough loss to the defending champs.

PICK: Miami - 6 1/2


Carolina at Minnesota + 2

The Panthers bounce back after the Falcons made them look like fools. The Vikings won on Monday, but didn't look that special. The Redskins were just worse. I usually like home dogs, but the Panthers have a history of playing well on the road.

PICK: Carolina -2


Cleveland at Cincinnati - 10 1/2

I'll make this one simple. The Bengals looked good last week and the Browns looked bad. The Bengals have owned this series lately and their defense will shut down a poor Cleveland offense.

PICK: Cincinnati - 10 1/2


Detroit at Chicago - 8 1/2

Lots of big spreads this week. Green Bay made the Bears look better than they are and I was actually impressed with the Lions last week holding the defending NFC champion Seahawks to exactly zero touchdowns. Are the cowardly Lions showing they can play?

PICK: Detroit + 8 1/2


Houston at Indianapolis - 13

I don't enjoy laying this many points, but this is just a mismatch. The Colts, playing at home, against a struggling team seems to be a lock, but I've been burned before when things seem this obvious. I'm still debating this one, but for now, I'm going with Indy.

PICK: Indianapolis - 13


New Orleans at Green Bay + 2

I know that traditionally, Green Bay doesn't lose at home. And since they are getting points here, this is a sure thing, right? Wrong. The Packers got shut out by the Bears last week, and the Saints didn't look so bad. Reggie Bush is the real deal, and the stupid decisions of Aaron Brooks don't haunt this team anymore. The have a pro bowl QB leading them.

PICK: New Orleans - 2


New York Giants at Philadelphia - 3

Philly looked good last week as McNabb threw for three TD's and looked like an all pro again. The Giants got slightly outplayed by the Colts, but looked pretty good too. This is one of the best games of the week to watch on TV. I think this one will be close, so I am going to go with the team getting some points, plus I think the Giants will do what it takes to avoid starting the season at 0-2.

PICK: New York Giants +3


Oakland at Baltimore - 11 1/2

Even though the Ravens beat the Bucs pretty bad last week, I'm still not convinced. Their defense looked like the Ravens of a few years ago. The Raiders just might be the worst team in football, looking like a High School team as they got embarrassed Monday night vs. The Chargers. I say the Raiders bounce back enough to come within the spread.

PICK: Oakland + 11 1/2


Tampa Bay at Atlanta - 5 1/2

Tampa is due to bounce back after getting beat by the Ravens last week. Chris Simms finally starts to look like his father this weekend as the Bucs have owned this series recently. With John Abraham listed as questionable, I think the Bucs pull this one out.

PICK: Tampa Bay + 5 1/2


Arizona at Seattle - 7

The Seahawks didn't look too impressive last weak against the Lions, but I think that had more to do with the improving Lions. This week they are at home and have won the last few vs. the Cardinals. Although the Cardinals are looking better, the still get beat on the road this week.

PICK: Seattle - 7


St. Louis at San Francisco +3

3? Only 3? The Rams are a middle of the pack type of team and the 49ers are a bad team. The Rams defense is better than the Cardinals defense, whom the 49ers put up 27 points against. Don't look for a repeat offensive performance by Gore, Bryant, or Smith. Steven Jackson, however, has a field day.

PICK: St. Louis - 3


Kansas City at Denver - 10 1/2

This is a tough one for KC without starting QB Trent Green, who suffered an injury last week. Larry Johnson will pick up the slack as the Chiefs at least keep it close. Denver may be starting Cutler sooner then we think if Plummer keeps playing like he did in week 1.

PICK: Kansas City + 10 1/2


New England at New York Jets +6

The Jets almost looked like a football team last week vs. The Titans, one of the league's worst teams. When facing one of the league's best teams, the Jets will fall apart. Pennington is probably the most fragile QB in the NFL and it it only a matter of time before his season is over. Look for a big day from Dillon, Maroney, Watson, and Brady.

PICK: New England -6


Tennessee at San Diego - 11 1/2

Well, you k now how I feel about the Titans and the Chargers looked good this past Monday night. They are giving a lot, but the west coast home field advantage is big in this case. Phillip Rivers looked more comfortable that I thought he would and LT is the best running back in the game. They beat up on the Titans like they beat up on the Raiders.

PICK: San Diego - 11 1/2


Washington at Dallas - 5 1/2

Without Portis, the Redskins don't amount to much. He is listed as questionable, and would be a fool to try to rush back from his injury. Dallas looked so-so last week, but Bledsoe will fight like hell to keep his job, which might be in jeopardy. Playing in front of a Texas crowd, Dallas wins out.

PICK: Dallas - 5 1/2


Pittsburgh at Jacksonville pick 'em

What is it with the Steelers and pick em games? The Jags look good, but the Steelers are better. Again, on national TV, the better team wins.

PICK: Pittsburgh


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